Did Thanksgiving Holiday Increase Illinois COVID Numbers?
According to Illinois Department of Public Health Director Dr. Ngozi Ezike, any surge will be seen by an increase in cases one to two weeks after the holiday.
This is caused by the maximum time of two weeks for infected people to develop symptoms, while asymptomatic people spread the virus without even knowing they have it. Dr. Anthony Fauci, Director of NIAID, said the "dynamics of an outbreak" usually show a lag between serious mitigation efforts and the actual curbing of infection rates within three to five weeks.
Though it's clear based on other holidays worldwide that because lack of proper precautions, including forgoing travel, social distancing, wearing a mask and proper disinfection before/after having family and guests over, Illinois is in for a surge within the coming weeks: "After the Canadian Thanksgiving, unfortunately Canada saw a dramatic increase in COVID-19 cases and let me tell you the U.S. rates of cases right now are much worse than Canada's was and our potential for a surge is much greater," Chicago Department of Public Health Commissioner Dr. Allison Arwady said last week.